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"Many of the deliverers that God is now calling will appear past their prime and out of place. Several of these are people who have been living in obscurity for years, faithfully serving the Lord's household, and shepherding others in dry places. Some of those who have laid down their lives to help watch sheep owned by another are now going to be released to set free many who have been enslaved by the world." | |
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Then Simeon blessed them and said to Mary, his mother: "This child is destined to cause the falling and rising of many in Israel, and to be a sign that will be spoken against, so that the thoughts of many hearts will be revealed." -- Luke 2:34-35 |
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PRINCETON, NJ -- Thus far in 2009, 40% of Americans interviewed in national Gallup Poll surveys describe their political views as conservative, 35% as moderate, and 21% as liberal. This represents a slight increase for conservatism in the U.S. since 2008, returning it to a level last seen in 2004. The 21% calling themselves liberal is in line with findings throughout this decade, but is up from the 1990s.

These annual figures are based on multiple national Gallup surveys conducted each year, in some cases encompassing more than 40,000 interviews. The 2009 data are based on 10 separate surveys conducted from January through May. Thus, the margins of error around each year's figures are quite small, and changes of only two percentage points are statistically significant.
To measure political ideology, Gallup asks Americans to say whether their political views are very conservative, conservative, moderate, liberal, or very liberal. As has been the case each year since 1992, very few Americans define themselves at the extremes of the political spectrum. Just 9% call themselves "very conservative" and 5% "very liberal." The vast majority of self-described liberals and conservatives identify with the unmodified form of their chosen label.

Party-Based Ideology
There is an important distinction in the respective ideological compositions of the Republican and Democratic Parties. While a solid majority of Republicans are on the same page -- 73% call themselves conservative -- Democrats are more of a mixture. The major division among Democrats is between self-defined moderates (40%) and liberals (38%). However, an additional 22% of Democrats consider themselves conservative, much higher than the 3% of Republicans identifying as liberal.
True to their nonpartisan tendencies, close to half of political independents -- 45% -- describe their political views as "moderate." Among the rest, the balance of views is tilted more heavily to the right than to the left: 34% are conservative, while 20% are liberal.
Gallup trends show a slight increase since 2008 in the percentages of all three party groups calling themselves "conservative," which accounts for the three percentage-point increase among the public at large.

Thus far in 2009, Gallup has found an average of 36% of Americans considering themselves Democratic, 28% Republican, and 37% independent. When independents are pressed to say which party they lean toward, 51% of Americans identify as Democrats, 39% as Republicans, and only 9% as pure independents.
Ideological tendencies by leaned party affiliation are very similar to those of straight partisan groups. However, it is worth noting the views of pure independents -- a group usually too small to analyze in individual surveys but potentially important in deciding elections. Exactly half of pure independents describe their views as moderate, 30% say they are conservative, and 17% liberal.

As reported last week on Gallup.com, women are more likely than men to be Democratic in their political orientation. Along the same lines, women are more likely than men to be ideologically "moderate" and "liberal," and less likely to be "conservative."
Still, conservatism outweighs liberalism among both genders.

The pattern is strikingly different on the basis of age, and this could have important political implications in the years ahead. Whereas middle-aged and older Americans lean conservative (vs. liberal) in their politics by at least 2 to 1, adults aged 18 to 29 are just as likely to say their political views are liberal (31%) as to say they are conservative (30%).

Future Gallup analysis will look at the changes in the political ideology of different age cohorts over time, to see whether young adults in the past have started out more liberal than they wound up in their later years.
Bottom Line
Although the terms may mean different things to different people, Americans readily peg themselves, politically, into one of five categories along the conservative-to-liberal spectrum. At present, large minorities describe their views as either moderate or conservative -- with conservatives the larger group -- whereas only about one in five consider themselves liberal.
While these figures have shown little change over the past decade, the nation appears to be slightly more polarized than it was in the early 1990s. Compared with the 1992-1994 period, the percentage of moderates has declined from 42% to 35%, while the percentages of conservatives and liberals are up slightly -- from 38% to 40% for conservatives and a larger 17% to 21% movement for liberals.
Survey Methods
Results are based on aggregated Gallup Poll surveys of approximately 1,000 national adults, aged 18 and older, interviewed by telephone. Sample sizes for the annual compilations range from approximately 10,000 to approximately 40,000. For these results, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

This is a long story. Feel free to ignore it. My pal Mike asked me, "Whatever happened to your scottauld.com name?" I replied with the following tale, and it was the first time I had actually written out the entire story. So, in the hopes that it will someday help someone else, here goes:
In 1997, a company called websolo.com was offering to register domain names for you and host the files for the site for $10/month. At the time, this was a very good deal because it was normally $200 to register a domain name. Do you remember $200/year? I do.
You see, websolo.com was a registrar, which meant they could register domain names on a DNS server and propogate the name to the world. In order to get lots of hosting clients, they offered to register your domain name for you on their own DNS servers if you would sign up for a year of hosting at $10 /year. I jumped at it.

scottauld.com as it appeared in 1999
They registered my domain name, scottauld.com, on their DNS servers, and that propogated around the world in 48 hours, like it was supposed to do. The whole world's DNS servers quickly learned that scottauld.com should point to websolo.com's hosting servers. And my files lived happily on those servers for six years, with me paying $10 / month for the priviledge...
I used the scottauld.com name to host the "Macintosh Compendium," a home for Apple Computer-centric wallpapers and other material. We got quite a few visitors over the years.
Fast forward to 2003.
I had begun registering my domain names at GoDaddy.com for $8 / year. Great price, i
(this is an aside:)
possible because the registrar monopolies had been broken up sometime around 1999. That's when Verisign lost their mopopoly (which they had attained by buying the big registrar in the world. Many new companies became registrars and started allowing you to register names much, much cheaper.
Okay, I digress. Anyway, I had bought several names from GoDaddy.com for $8 / year. I wanted to consolidate my scottauld.com name over to GoDaddy. I was willing to keep hosting the files on websolo.com (now known as Aplus.net) with the same ten bucks they were already making off of me. I merely wanted to move where the name was held.
But aplus.net told me I couldn't move the NAME (which they always had stated that I owned) to another server. In other words, even though they said I owned the name, they wouldn't relinquish the name to another DNS server on another company.
If you know how domain names are administered, then you know that each domain name has three "contacts": Registrant contact, Administrative contact, and Technical contact. What websolo had done was to place my name as Registrant and Administrative, but their own name as Technical. That prevented me from moving the name, because you have to get permission from the contacts to move a name.
After multiple emails and calls, head games and shenanigans, and an improper say/do ratio, I finally gave up on them. I cancelled the service with websolo.com/aplus.net, told them to stop billing me and to let the domain name die. I never told them my new email address, never told them where the site was being rebuilt (freepatriot.com) and basically told them I was disconnecting from the internet forever and to consider me dead.
Now, they never removed the entry for scottauld.com from their hosting servers. You already know that a webserver has entries for names that it hosts, and if that server gets a request for scottauld.com it knows which directory to load. That's what they still have configured on their name servers. But they have deleted me from DNS, and that change (deletion) propogated around the world, which is why that name no longer works in a web browser.

freepatriot.com today
Maybe someday I'll buy the name (it's free now) and just point the people to my real site. Or maybe someday I'll have to move this site to another name, since Spam eventually catches up with you and is the bane of all domain name owners. Only time will tell.
If you are interested in what the site (or any other website) looked like over time, visit archive.org for a look back in time.
UPDATE 7/28/08: an Australian racecar driver named Scott Auld owns the name now. Bummer.
Scott,
I created a table and graph for you regarding the vertical drop (in feet) of a projectile based on it's velocity and distance traveled. Do note that the values in the table are feet, not inches. For example, a bullet traveling at 900 ft/sec will drop over 7 feet after traveling horizontally 600 feet (200 yds).
Two assumptions were made: the projectile was fire horizontally (obviously) and air resistance was neglected. Accounting for air resistance would affect the results - all vertical drops would increase. By how much? I can only guess at this point - could be a little, could be a lot. Naturally, the farther the target, the greater the difference between the numbers I calculated and the "real-life" numbers. We could figure it out if we know how much longer it takes for the bullet to reach the target. But none-the-less, these values do give you a rough idea of how much the projectile will drop.
I used two very simple formulas:
d = vt
s = 1/2at^2
I'm going to rewrite them just a bit:
Dx = vt
Dy = 1/2at^2
Now, I'm going to "massage" the formulas a bit:
t = Dx/v
Dy = 16t^2
Now, for a little substitution:
Dy = 16(Dx/v)^2
The formula above is what you asked for. It addresses your question, 'how to calculate the answer to a question like "calculate the amount of drop at 50 yards, 100 yards, and two hundred yards for a bullet fired horizontally at 1000 fps."'
In English, the formula states, "To find the vertical drop, in feet, of a projectile, divide the horizontal distance to the target by the velocity of the projectile, square this value, then multiple by 16." Not overly complicated, but then again, not exactly the easiest numbers to crunch out in the field. Just identify your distance to the target and your muzzle velocity and you can get a good idea of the vertical drop in feet (neglecting air resistance).
Enjoy,
Tony